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2024-12-14 00:18:09

Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to investment opportunities in the fields of cement, consumer building materials, glass fiber, etc. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Cement: the price continues to push up, and the northern region has entered the winter peak-shifting stage. In November, the weather gradually turned cold, and the downstream market demand dropped slightly. Most provinces in the north have entered the stage of winter peak-shifting and kiln-stopping, and the kiln-stopping rate is above 80%. Under the background of improving supply and demand in the industry, cement enterprises continue to push up cement prices. 2) Consumer building materials: The retail end continued to improve month on month. In October, the retail sales of building and decoration materials decreased by 5.8% year-on-year and increased by 4.9% quarter-on-quarter. Recently, with the stabilization of commercial housing sales, the demand for consumer building materials has improved. 3) Glass fiber: the price of roving rose slightly at the end of the month, and the price of electronic yarn was temporarily stable. In November, the demand for wind power yarn and thermoplastic yarn was stable, but the demand for traditional building materials was still under pressure, which led to the general demand for roving. There are resumption of production and new ignition production lines within the month, and the annual production capacity has increased; Near the end of the month, glass fiber enterprises issued a notice of re-pricing roving and products. It will take some time for the new price to land, but it will have a certain driving effect on demand and price in the short term. 4) Float glass: at the end of the year, work will continue to support the market demand and the inventory of enterprises will be improved. In November, work was rushed to support the demand of float glass terminal, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Suggested attention: Beixin Building Materials, CONCH, China Jushi, etc.South Korea's exports increased by 12.4% and imports increased by 11.6% from December 1 to 10. South Korea's chip exports increased by 43% year-on-year from December 1 to 10.


CITIC Securities: In 2025, the performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, looking forward to 2025, the macro resilience will continue, and the superimposed GenAI technology will continue to be introduced. The performance boom cycle of the US Internet sector is expected to continue, which is reflected in online advertising, e-commerce, streaming media, local life, financial technology and other sectors. However, the Trump administration's tariff increase & industry regulatory policies, inflation data, AI technology progress, etc. are expected to be continuous disturbance variables and need to be closely watched. At the level of individual stocks, the first-line Internet giants will still be the basic allocation. At the same time, we suggest that investors appropriately increase the allocation of small and medium-sized stocks in the fields of advertising technology and financial technology to enhance portfolio flexibility.South Korean Finance Minister and US Treasury Secretary Yellen confirmed that they will work closely together.Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative has landed, and bank financial management has welcomed "three changes". "Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative involves a large scale of deposits, and some banks have begun to rectify. For the banking industry, the overall advantages outweigh the disadvantages. On the one hand, some configurable high-yield assets are gone; On the other hand, self-regulatory initiatives are beneficial to the bond market, and bond assets are an important direction for bank financial allocation. The most important thing is that in terms of risk-return characteristics, bank wealth management products are similar to interbank deposits, and it is expected that a large amount of funds will flow into the bank wealth management market from the interbank deposit market. " On December 10, a person from a financial company of a city commercial bank in the southern region bluntly told reporters.


Guotai Junan: The bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. Guotai Junan Securities recently released the prospect of China's equity investment strategy in 2025, and the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions for a "transformation bull" are taking shape. After a long period of continuous adjustment, pessimistic expectation and clear microstructure, it is a prerequisite for the stock market to have valuation flexibility. The positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.During the year, there were 461 new indices, and the index investment fever continued to climb. On December 10th, in order to meet the investment demand of diversified indices, CSI Index Co., Ltd. officially released five new indices, including CSI 1000 Growth Index, CSI 1000 Value Index, CSI 2000 Growth Index, CSI 2000 Value Index and CSI 1000 Quality Balance Strategy Index. With the "listing" of the above five indexes, the number of newly-issued indexes reached 461 during the year, covering categories such as strategy, style, scale, industry, theme and other fixed-income indexes; Related index asset classes include stocks, fixed income, funds and futures. At the same time, the secondary market, this year, the heat of indexed investment is also high. Looking forward to the future, with the continuous vigorous growth of market demand and unabated heat, and the precise guidance and strong support from the supervisory level, the indexed investment ecology will become more and more perfect. (Securities Daily)New World Development sold Artisan Lab in Kowloon, Hong Kong for HK$ 620 million. Sing Tao Daily quoted an unnamed insider as saying that New World Development sold Artisan Lab in San Po Kong, Kowloon for HK$ 620 million. This 22-storey building was completed in 2022, with a floor area of about 120,000 square feet.

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